Post-race intelligence
Grid Command
Championship order, car lab, race weekends, circuits, source provenance, and a television-scale wall in one public command surface.
22 drivers · 11 teams
Open Formula 1 By Invitation · Volume I · 2026
Tucson · 32.2226° N · 110.9747° W
Sports
as capital
allocation.
One house for verified releases, race intelligence, power ratings, disciplined sizing, and a public record. Every claim is labeled. Every risk is sized. Most days, the best position is no position.
The intelligence house
Five desks.
One standard.
One standard.
Price · Context · Risk · Receipt
TBW
Boards
5
Method
11A
Rule
PASS
System · Public Edition
Available
BASEBALLPRICE BOARDGRID COMMAND22 DRIVERSNASCARRACE DESKPOWERELO INDEXRECORDPUBLIC LEDGERSIZINGQUARTER KELLYMETHOD11 AGENTSHOUSE RULEEDGE OR PASSBASEBALLPRICE BOARDGRID COMMAND22 DRIVERSNASCARRACE DESKPOWERELO INDEXRECORDPUBLIC LEDGERSIZINGQUARTER KELLYMETHOD11 AGENTSHOUSE RULEEDGE OR PASSBASEBALLPRICE BOARDGRID COMMAND22 DRIVERSNASCARRACE DESKPOWERELO INDEXRECORDPUBLIC LEDGERSIZINGQUARTER KELLYMETHOD11 AGENTSHOUSE RULEEDGE OR PASS
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Continue
Release status
Know what is current.
Every desk declares its freshness before it declares an opinion. Historical releases remain useful—but never masquerade as today.
The Board · Five desks
One house.
Every decision surface.
Move through the network without losing the method. Each room is built for its sport, but all five answer the same questions: what changed, what matters, what is priced in, and when should we pass?
Act III · The Engine
Eleven agents.
One escapement.
Each pick passes through a multi-round debate. Bull and Bear argue first. Risk Manager rates the spread. Three Risk voices then go in circle: aggressive, conservative, neutral. Portfolio Manager approves or kills. The escapement only releases when the consensus is real.
Cal. TBW-26 · Eleven jewels
01
Bull
Long-side conviction
02
Bear
Short-side counter
03
Fundamentals
Per-team Elo
04
Sentiment
Public bias
05
News
Injury & lineup
06
Technical
Line movement
07
Risk Manager
5-tier rating
08
Aggressive
Variance up
09
Conservative
Variance down
10
Neutral
Bayesian midpoint
11
Portfolio
Final approval
Interactive · The Sizer
Quarter-Kelly,
in your hand.
Move bankroll, edge, or odds. Watch the recommended stake settle. Quarter-Kelly is the discipline. Full Kelly maximizes growth and wrecks variance. We give back three-quarters of theoretical optimum to sleep at night.
American odds skip the invalid range between −99 and +99.
Capped stake
A$100
1.00u · 1.31% of roll
- Full Kelly
- 5.25%
- Raw quarter
- 1.31%
- Applied cap
- 1.00%
- Assumed prob
- 54.9%
- Decimal
- 1.91
The number shown already applies the house cap: Tier S 1.5%, Tier A 1.0%, Tier B 0.5% paper only. Watch-tier positions pass. Educational sizing tool—not a recommendation.
Verified paper record · June 6, 2026
Receipts,
not promises.
This is the actual frozen record from the latest published ledger—not a marketing example. It remains immutable and clearly dated until a new verified release replaces it.Audit the complete release →
Record21–2849 graded positions
Hit rate42.9%Win share, not profit
Paper P/L+$833$10,833 bankroll
ROI on risk+13.7%0 positions pending
Paper equity path
All 49 positions
Moneyline1–1+$179 · +67.2% ROI
Model picks18–27+$467 · +8.3% ROI
Totals2–0+$187 · +104.5% ROI
Act V · The Code
By invitation.
Tier S only goes public at 90%+.
Tier B runs as paper across every market. Tier A and Tier S unlock with verified bankroll. Most days we ship nothing. The patience is the product.
Tenet · 01
Edge or pass
No edge over the closing line, no pick. Most days we sit.
Tenet · 02
Quarter Kelly
Three-quarters of theoretical optimum given back to sleep at night.
Tenet · 03
Public ledger
Every approved pick logs to the public ledger within 24 hours of close.